{"from":"2026-06-01","to":"2026-06-30","modelVersion":"v2.3.0","n":329,"top1Accuracy":0.43465045592705165,"over25Accuracy":0.5653495440729484,"meanBrier1x2":0.6671395703033435,"meanBrierOver25":0.24577071556079017,"recentDays":[{"date":"2026-06-01","n":1,"top1Hits":0,"top1Accuracy":0,"over25Accuracy":1},{"date":"2026-06-02","n":5,"top1Hits":1,"top1Accuracy":0.2,"over25Accuracy":0.8},{"date":"2026-06-04","n":1,"top1Hits":0,"top1Accuracy":0,"over25Accuracy":0},{"date":"2026-06-05","n":9,"top1Hits":5,"top1Accuracy":0.5555555555555556,"over25Accuracy":0.7777777777777778},{"date":"2026-06-06","n":20,"top1Hits":7,"top1Accuracy":0.35,"over25Accuracy":0.45},{"date":"2026-06-07","n":15,"top1Hits":5,"top1Accuracy":0.3333333333333333,"over25Accuracy":0.6666666666666666},{"date":"2026-06-08","n":1,"top1Hits":1,"top1Accuracy":1,"over25Accuracy":0},{"date":"2026-06-09","n":11,"top1Hits":4,"top1Accuracy":0.36363636363636365,"over25Accuracy":0.5454545454545454},{"date":"2026-06-10","n":8,"top1Hits":3,"top1Accuracy":0.375,"over25Accuracy":0.75},{"date":"2026-06-11","n":3,"top1Hits":2,"top1Accuracy":0.6666666666666666,"over25Accuracy":0.6666666666666666},{"date":"2026-06-12","n":7,"top1Hits":3,"top1Accuracy":0.42857142857142855,"over25Accuracy":0.2857142857142857},{"date":"2026-06-13","n":16,"top1Hits":9,"top1Accuracy":0.5625,"over25Accuracy":0.4375},{"date":"2026-06-14","n":16,"top1Hits":7,"top1Accuracy":0.4375,"over25Accuracy":0.5},{"date":"2026-06-15","n":2,"top1Hits":1,"top1Accuracy":0.5,"over25Accuracy":0.5},{"date":"2026-06-16","n":2,"top1Hits":1,"top1Accuracy":0.5,"over25Accuracy":0},{"date":"2026-06-17","n":7,"top1Hits":2,"top1Accuracy":0.2857142857142857,"over25Accuracy":0.14285714285714285},{"date":"2026-06-18","n":4,"top1Hits":2,"top1Accuracy":0.5,"over25Accuracy":0.25},{"date":"2026-06-19","n":9,"top1Hits":4,"top1Accuracy":0.4444444444444444,"over25Accuracy":0.5555555555555556},{"date":"2026-06-20","n":16,"top1Hits":5,"top1Accuracy":0.3125,"over25Accuracy":0.625},{"date":"2026-06-21","n":16,"top1Hits":8,"top1Accuracy":0.5,"over25Accuracy":0.625},{"date":"2026-06-22","n":7,"top1Hits":2,"top1Accuracy":0.2857142857142857,"over25Accuracy":0.2857142857142857},{"date":"2026-06-23","n":14,"top1Hits":6,"top1Accuracy":0.42857142857142855,"over25Accuracy":0.7857142857142857},{"date":"2026-06-24","n":13,"top1Hits":5,"top1Accuracy":0.38461538461538464,"over25Accuracy":0.5384615384615384},{"date":"2026-06-25","n":5,"top1Hits":3,"top1Accuracy":0.6,"over25Accuracy":0.6},{"date":"2026-06-26","n":27,"top1Hits":10,"top1Accuracy":0.37037037037037035,"over25Accuracy":0.7777777777777778},{"date":"2026-06-27","n":59,"top1Hits":29,"top1Accuracy":0.4915254237288136,"over25Accuracy":0.5423728813559322},{"date":"2026-06-28","n":15,"top1Hits":6,"top1Accuracy":0.4,"over25Accuracy":0.4},{"date":"2026-06-29","n":9,"top1Hits":5,"top1Accuracy":0.5555555555555556,"over25Accuracy":0.7777777777777778},{"date":"2026-06-30","n":11,"top1Hits":7,"top1Accuracy":0.6363636363636364,"over25Accuracy":0.6363636363636364}],"calibration":[{"label":"50–60%","minProb":0.5,"maxProb":0.6,"n":66,"hitRate":0.5151515151515151},{"label":"60–70%","minProb":0.6,"maxProb":0.7,"n":62,"hitRate":0.43548387096774194},{"label":"70%+","minProb":0.7,"maxProb":1.0001,"n":59,"hitRate":0.5423728813559322}],"yearMonth":"2026-06","label":"June 2026","pctModelMatchesImpliedFavorite":65.80882352941177,"top1AccuracyWhenOutcomeFavorite":0.7,"top1AccuracyWhenOutcomeUpset":0.14754098360655737,"meanLogloss1x2Model":1.0906137734576804,"meanLogloss1x2Implied":0.9433583694587874,"citationSummary":"Beathem graded 329 finished football fixtures in June 2026 (model v2.3.0): 1X2 top-pick hit rate 43.5%, Over 2.5 side hit rate 56.5%, mean Brier 1X2 0.667. When the top pick sat at 60–70%, it hit 43.5% across 62 graded fixtures. These are model probabilities for research — not tipster guarantees; past results do not guarantee future outcomes.","canonicalUrl":"https://www.beathem.net/research/model-report/2026-06","indexUrl":"https://www.beathem.net/research/model-report","methodologyUrl":"https://www.beathem.net/methodology","recordUrl":"https://www.beathem.net/predictions/record","note":"Calendar-month graded fixtures for the highest-volume model version. Research only; past performance does not guarantee future results."}