A high-level overview of how we produce the numbers you see. Not financial or betting advice; no guarantee of accuracy or outcomes.
On match and calendar pages we display probabilities for the match result (1X2), over/under 2.5 goals, expected goals (xG) for each team, and sometimes other markets (e.g. first-half goals, both teams to score). We also show a confidence level (Low / Medium / High) that reflects how much historical data supports the estimate. These are statistical estimates, not forecasts of what will definitely happen.
Our models use data such as past match results, goals, and (where available) underlying stats. Data is sourced from third-party providers and is subject to their accuracy and availability. We do not guarantee that inputs or outputs are error-free or complete.
We use statistical and machine-learning methods to estimate probabilities and expected goals. The exact approach may evolve (e.g. model versions, calibration). In general: we combine historical and in-season information to estimate the likelihood of different outcomes and derive expected goals. Confidence is based on factors such as sample size and consistency of the data—so “High” means the estimate is more stable, not that the outcome is guaranteed.
Beathem predictions are for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not financial, legal, or betting advice. We are not liable for any loss or damage arising from your use of the platform or reliance on our content. If you choose to bet, do so responsibly and in line with our responsible gambling guidance.