Saturday, April 4, 2026 • 16:00
Estádio da Madeira, Funchal
Nacional

Nacional

VS
Not Started
Estrela

Estrela

Nacional vs Estrela predictions & stats

Top pick Nacional 42%, Over 2.5 goals 43%. Free match analysis, team stats and betting tips for Primeira Liga.

Match Snapshot

Primary insights + team context

Primary Insights

Team Context

BTTS %
54%vs35%
Nacional / Estrela
Avg Goals/Game
1.12vs1.12
Combined avg: 2.24
Form
LDLLLvsLDDLL
Last 5
Clean Sheets %
15%vs23%
Nacional / Estrela

Season Performance

Comparing both teams this season

Home Team - Form
L
D
L
L
L
Away Team - Form
L
D
D
L
L
22
Points
25
5
Wins
5
7
Draws
10
14
Losses
11
29
Goals For
29
38
Goals Against
45
1.12
Avg Goals For/Game
1.12
11
Goals For 1st Half
13
14
Goals Against 1st Half
20
18
Goals For 2nd Half
16
24
Goals Against 2nd Half
25
4
Clean Sheets
6
8
Failed to Score
11
54%
BTTS %
35%
Primeira Liga Standings

Current league table

#TeamPGDPts
126+4269
225+5062
326+3862
425+2746
526+1242
626+1042
726+537
826-735
926-1032
1026-1529
1126-1927
1226-2226
1326-825
1426-1625
1525-1824
1626-922
1725-2019
1826-4010
Deep Analysis

Team Insights

Style of play and derived stats from match data this season

45%
Possession %
49%
326
Passes/Game
363
75%
Pass Accuracy %
80%
12.5
Shots/Game
10.8
4.1
Shots on Target/Game
3.6
7.4
Shots Inside Box/Game
5.6
5
Shots Outside Box/Game
5.2
4.2
Corners/Game
3.3
14.8
Fouls/Game
14.7
3.1
Saves/Game
3.2
11.2
Shots per Goal
9.7
3.7
Shots on Target per Goal
3.2
7
Games with More Possession
10
18
Games with Less Possession
16
1
Goals/Game when More Possession
1.1
1.2
Goals/Game when Less Possession
1.1
14%
Win Rate when Having More Possession %
20%
5
Points Won (Last 10 min)
2
9
Points Lost (Last 10 min)
2
0
Comeback Wins (Trailed at HT)
0
NacionalEstrela

Playing Style Analysis

Nacional

They maintain balanced possession (45%) Meanwhile, They've won 4 games despite having less possession, showing they're effective without the ball. They've dropped points in 3 games despite controlling possession, indicating issues breaking down defenses. They've salvaged 10 points from losing positions this season. However, they've blown 3 leads after leading at halftime, showing vulnerability when ahead Additionally, Their game management needs work: 15 points dropped after taking the lead Meanwhile, They prefer direct play over possession, averaging 326 passes per game. Defensively, they're aggressive (14.8 fouls/game).

Estrela

They maintain balanced possession (49%). Despite often having less possession, they've won 3 games, demonstrating tactical flexibility. A concerning pattern: they've lost 5 games with more possession, showing vulnerability when expected to create Additionally, They've gained 11 points from losing positions, showing they fight until the end Meanwhile, A concerning pattern: they've lost 2 games despite leading at the break. They've struggled to protect leads, dropping 10 points from winning positions. Defensively, they're aggressive (14.7 fouls/game).

Nacional Half-Time Performance

Nacional home games half time results

Estrela Half-Time Performance

Estrela away games half time results

Nacional vs League Standings

Estrela vs League Standings