Prediction track record
Beathem grades finished fixtures against the pre-match model output: whether the highest 1X2 probability matched the result, whether the Over/Under 2.5 side at 50% matched the goals total, and mean Brier scores (lower is better). These are model probabilities for research — not tipster guarantees. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Window: 2026-10-09 → 2026-11-07 · model version v2.3.0. Highest-volume model version in range.
Graded fixtures
2128
1X2 top-pick hit rate
42.2%
Over 2.5 side hit rate
55.6%
Mean Brier 1X2
0.643
Mean Brier Over 2.5: 0.244. A well-calibrated 60% call should land about six times in ten — misses are expected.